Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 2
SPO
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RPA
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 5
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |