Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 3
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
RÑU
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 5
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |