Sportivo Peñarol vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CIB
1 - 1
SPE
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HHE
0 - 0
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JUU
0 - 0
SPE
47%
29%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
FER
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 1
VIL
35%
32%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
VIL
15%
26%
59%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDA
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |