Sportivo Peñarol vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
8º
9º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 0
SPE
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
CDA
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
CIB
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
JUU
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 0
CSE
46%
29%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
JUU
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
4 - 0
ATE
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |