Sportivo Peñarol vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 0
FER
51%
28%
21%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
JUU
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 0
CDC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
JUU
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
JUU
0 - 0
SDM
50%
29%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |