Sportivo Peñarol vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
5 - 0
SPE
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
CSE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DCM
2 - 1
SPE
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 2
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIP
1 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JUU
2 - 0
IND
47%
30%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
LIN
45%
29%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
IND
16%
27%
57%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
CDA
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |