Sportivo Peñarol vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
CIP
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
SDM
0 - 4
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NOB
2 - 0
SPE
84%
13%
3%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
DCA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 1
SPE
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
FAD
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
IND
5 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
RDT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ULO
2 - 3
IND
43%
23%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
IND
4 - 0
DFG
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |