Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 6-3
Sportivo Peñarol vs Huracán San Rafael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
DCM
2 - 0
SPE
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 0
DCM
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 1
SPE
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 0
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Huracán San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 1
SPE
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 0
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
HUR
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |