Sportivo Peñarol vs Huracán Las Heras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
8º
9º
43
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPE
37%
29%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
JUU
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
SPE
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 3
CDA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
CSE
3 - 0
SPE
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Huracán Las Heras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HHE
0 - 2
CIB
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 0
HHE
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HHE
2 - 1
CSE
44%
28%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 3
HHE
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HHE
3 - 2
ATE
53%
27%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |