Sportivo Peñarol vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
8º
9º
35
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SPE
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 2
SPE
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
HHE
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPE
37%
29%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
JUU
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 0
CIB
26%
27%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 4
CDA
28%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CSE
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
CSE
3 - 0
ATE
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HHE
2 - 1
CSE
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |