Sportivo Peñarol vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPE
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
FER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 2
SPE
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
CIP
37%
28%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DES
2 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
DES
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
DES
0 - 0
SDM
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
HHE
3 - 1
DES
47%
28%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DES
0 - 0
DCA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |