Sportivo Peñarol vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 0
SPE
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
HHE
0 - 0
SPE
57%
26%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 0
OLI
17%
26%
57%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +3 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPE
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 3
CSE
18%
24%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
CIP
42%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
MAI
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
DES
66%
23%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 1
DCM
48%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
2 - 2
DES
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |