Sportivo Peñarol vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 1
DCM
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 1
FER
24%
26%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 0
CDC
68%
22%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 1
LIN
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
SDM
22%
27%
51%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |