Sportivo Patria vs Vélez de San Ramón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
GIM
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
SPA
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
MIT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
SPA
44%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 3
SAR
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
VSR
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
VSR
0 - 1
MIT
14%
22%
64%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 2
SOL
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CFE
3 - 1
VSR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |