Sportivo Patria vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 0
SOL
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SPA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 1
CFE
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
SAR
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
GAF
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 1
GAF
33%
30%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SPA
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GAF
19%
28%
52%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |