Sportivo Patria vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
CFE
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 4
SPA
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 3
RES
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SPA
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
TEX
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CFE
2 - 1
GIM
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CDN
2 - 0
GIM
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TFE
4 - 2
GIM
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |