Sportivo Patria vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
SPA
28%
27%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
MIT
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
SPA
44%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
CFE
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 1
CFE
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
GIM
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
TEX
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 0
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |