Sportivo Patria vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
CFE
0 - 0
SPA
44%
28%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 3
SAR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
DCM
0 - 1
SPA
75%
18%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
AHZ
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JAN
1 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDN
2 - 3
SAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AHZ
0 - 0
CDN
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CDN
1 - 2
GYT
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
CDN
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDN
2 - 0
CFE
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |