Sportivo Patria vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 1
SPA
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
AND
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CON
4 - 2
SPA
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
TEX
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AHZ
3 - 2
AMT
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AMT
1 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
AMT
1 - 2
SJO
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AHZ
2 - 0
AMT
85%
10%
4%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |