Sportivo Patria vs Altos Hornos Zapla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JAN
1 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
GYT
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
GUT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GUT
2 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
JAN
0 - 1
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Altos Hornos Zapla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AHZ
1 - 1
GYT
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
AHZ
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 0
AHZ
56%
26%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
AHZ
0 - 0
SAR
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
AHZ
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |