Sportivo Luqueño vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 2
RÑU
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
5 - 1
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |