Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
12º
10º
32
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 1
SPT
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
RES
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |