Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 0
LQE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
LQE
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
OLI
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 4
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |