Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
LQE
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |