Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 2
LQE
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |