Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 3
LQE
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 3
LQE
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AME
1 - 0
LQE
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
ITA
90%
9%
1%
|
84 | 26 | 58 | -1 |