Clausura Paraguay Final
Global 1-3
Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
2DE
1 - 1
LQE
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 1
AME
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
OLI
5 - 1
LQE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
SPT
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |