Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 0
LQE
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 1
LQE
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 1
CCP
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 2
LQE
27%
27%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
DEP
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |