Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 1
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |