Sportivo Luqueño vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
4 - 1
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
OLI
7%
16%
77%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
12O
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |