Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
11º
8º
41
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
LQE
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
LQE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
JLM
3 - 2
LQE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 4
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |