Sportivo Luqueño vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 1
LQE
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LQE
4 - 0
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LQE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 2
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 4
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 0
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |