Sportivo Luqueño vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LQE
3 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
LQE
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
LQE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LIB
4 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
RÑU
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |