Sportivo Italiano vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 1
ITA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 1
MID
36%
28%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAF
41%
29%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 2
ITA
49%
28%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
DPA
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CBA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAA
3 - 0
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |