Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
MER
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
SMA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LUJ
2 - 2
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
LAF
0 - 0
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
RPI
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAÑ
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |