Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 0
ITA
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 0
ITA
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALM
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SUA
3 - 0
ITA
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
STM
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
MOR
40%
31%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
AND
3 - 1
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |