Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
SMA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LUJ
2 - 2
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
LAF
0 - 0
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
CCO
36%
26%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
5 - 0
MER
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -3 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
ARM
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
CAÑ
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 3
MER
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |