Sportivo Italiano vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AND
1 - 1
ITA
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
DOC
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAM
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
2 - 3
ITA
33%
30%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITU
58%
25%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 0
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
JJU
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 0
ESP
45%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |