Sportivo Italiano vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 1
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
SAC
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
MID
0 - 1
ITA
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
STM
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
ITU
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 3
CAD
45%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 1
JJU
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
CAD
33%
28%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 1
CAD
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |