Sportivo Italiano vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 1
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
ITA
43%
29%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
40%
28%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 1
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 0
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
BRO
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |