Bella Italia vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2106%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
SBI
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SBI
2 - 4
CSY
8%
14%
79%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 1
SBI
70%
18%
11%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
SBI
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SBI
2 - 1
DEI
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 3
ROC
10%
16%
73%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 1
CSC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |