Sportivo Belgrano vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 3
SPB
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 0
CCS
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
JAN
2 - 0
SPB
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 0
SMA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 3
SPB
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 0
TAL
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
GAF
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 2
SJO
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TFE
1 - 0
GAF
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |