Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDN
2 - 1
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SPB
3 - 1
ALM
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 2
SPB
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 0
TAL
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 0
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
EST
3 - 2
TEM
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FEN
4 - 2
EST
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
PLA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |