Sportivo Belgrano vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
2º
13
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SLP
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
SPB
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPB
23%
26%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 4
DHA
23%
28%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
DPR
40%
30%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
DPR
25%
26%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DPR
4 - 0
DHA
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |