Sportivo Belgrano vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 0
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
TFE
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
JAN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CCS
2 - 1
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 0
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
DES
1 - 4
RIV
18%
28%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 0
IRV
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
RIV
26%
29%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |