Sportivo Barracas vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
79.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SBF
1 - 1
REN
5%
11%
85%
|
13 | 66 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
DFK
0 - 1
SBF
60%
19%
20%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
SBF
2 - 0
HPC
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 0
SBF
81%
12%
6%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LUZ
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
CEL
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
42%
30%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |