Sportivo Ameliano vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
12º
8º
29
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
SPT
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
LQE
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 3
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 2
SPT
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |