Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional analysis

Sportivo Ameliano Nacional
72 ELO 78
12.6% Tilt -1.1%
528º General ELO ranking 488º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47%
Sportivo Ameliano
23.9%
Draw
29.1%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Sportivo Ameliano
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
Nacional
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sportivo Ameliano
-2%
+11%
Nacional

Points and table prediction

Sportivo Ameliano
Their league position
Nacional
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Libertad
51
51
100%
Cerro Porteño
41
41
100%
Sportivo Trinidense
38
38
100%
Guaraní
33
33
100%
Nacional
33
33
100%
Olimpia
31
31
100%
Sportivo Ameliano
30
30
100%
Sportivo Luqueño
27
27
100%
General Caballero JLM
24
24
100%
Guaireña
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Resistencia
11º
17
17
11º
100%
Tacuary
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2023
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 1
Sportivo Ameliano
AME
46%
27%
27%
72 72 0 0
10 Feb. 2023
AME
Sportivo Ameliano
0 - 3
Resistencia
RES
56%
24%
20%
73 69 4 -1
04 Feb. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 2
Sportivo Ameliano
AME
59%
21%
20%
73 76 3 0
29 Jan. 2023
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 1
Sportivo Ameliano
AME
57%
22%
21%
73 79 6 0
26 Jan. 2023
AME
Sportivo Ameliano
1 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
30%
22%
47%
72 79 7 +1

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2023
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
44%
25%
31%
77 74 3 0
19 Feb. 2023
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Libertad
LIB
37%
26%
36%
78 78 0 -1
15 Feb. 2023
NAC
Nacional
3 - 1
Sport Huancayo
HUA
60%
23%
17%
78 67 11 0
11 Feb. 2023
JLM
General Caballero JLM
0 - 1
Nacional
NAC
38%
27%
35%
77 73 4 +1
08 Feb. 2023
HUA
Sport Huancayo
2 - 1
Nacional
NAC
27%
25%
48%
78 66 12 -1