Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-1
Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPT
3 - 0
AME
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPT
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |