Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
9º
9º
45
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
AME
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
JLM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CCP
3 - 1
SPT
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |